Standard Chartered Bank has doubled down on its bitcoin price forecast of $100,000 next year with increased optimism on the timing. “We now expect more price upside to materialize before the halving than we previously did, specifically via the earlier-than-expected introduction of U.S. spot [bitcoin] ETFs,” the bank’s analyst described.
Standard Chartered’s Bitcoin Price Prediction
Standard Chartered Bank has reiterated its bitcoin price forecast of $100,000 with more price upside happening sooner than it previously predicted. In a note published Tuesday, Standard Chartered’s head of crypto research and Western emerging markets FX, Geoff Kendrick, wrote that “crypto spring has sprung.”
The analyst explained that bitcoin’s unwavering dominance in the cryptocurrency space and heightened token hoarding by miners continue to drive the asset’s upward trajectory. Bitcoin’s share of the crypto market cap rose from 45% in April to approximately 50% while its value surged by over $10,000. The price upswing has sparked renewed interest in the cryptocurrency space. Kendrick shared:
Going forward, then, we expect digital assets’ rising overall market cap to be a bigger driver of BTC price upside than a continued rise in BTC dominance within the space.
As bitcoin’s price escalates, miners are increasingly holding onto their BTC, leading to a sharp decline in mined bitcoin sales to around 80% in the fourth quarter. The upcoming Bitcoin halving in April will further reduce the supply of new bitcoin. Kendrick noted that historically, bitcoin prices peaked 12-18 months after a halving.
The bank initially forecasted a bitcoin price of $100,000 back in April, declaring that crypto winter is over and anticipating that the price could reach $100,000 by the end of 2024. In July, the bank adjusted its prediction, stating that BTC could reach $120,000 next year while emphasizing that crypto winter has ended.
The Standard Chartered analyst further explained that an unexpected positive development is unfolding on the demand side, with an increasing probability of spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Kendrick detailed:
We now expect more price upside to materialize before the halving than we previously did, specifically via the earlier-than-expected introduction of U.S. spot ETFs. This suggests a risk that the USD 100,000 level could be reached before end-2024.
Many analysts expect the SEC to approve multiple spot bitcoin ETFs next year, including one from Blackrock, the world’s largest asset manager. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler recently stated that the securities regulator is considering between eight and 10 spot bitcoin ETF applications.
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